Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000686 0.000785 0.000890 0.001009 0.001141 0.001281 0.001441
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000527 0.000662 0.000817 0.001003 0.001222 0.001469 0.001767
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000452 0.000605 0.000788 0.001018 0.001297 0.001624 0.002030
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000376 0.000534 0.000731 0.000990 0.001315 0.001706 0.002207
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000315 0.000474 0.000680 0.000960 0.001323 0.001770 0.002356
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000277 0.000438 0.000654 0.000957 0.001361 0.001870 0.002549
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000245 0.000407 0.000633 0.000957 0.001398 0.001967 0.002741
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.000375 0.000605 0.000945 0.001420 0.002042 0.002903
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000344 0.000575 0.000927 0.001429 0.002100 0.003042
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000332 0.000574 0.000948 0.001492 0.002230 0.003278
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000161 0.000320 0.000569 0.000964 0.001548 0.002351 0.003506
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000297 0.000546 0.000950 0.001559 0.002409 0.003647
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000272 0.000518 0.000928 0.001558 0.002451 0.003770
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000258 0.000507 0.000931 0.001594 0.002546 0.003969
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000247 0.000501 0.000941 0.001641 0.002658 0.004192
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000226 0.000474 0.000916 0.001631 0.002686 0.004296
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000205 0.000447 0.000888 0.001615 0.002704 0.004384
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000194 0.000436 0.000885 0.001639 0.002781 0.004560
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000184 0.000426 0.000885 0.001665 0.002861 0.004742
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000172 0.000411 0.000874 0.001674 0.002915 0.004886
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000159 0.000393 0.000857 0.001672 0.002951 0.005002
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000156 0.000395 0.000877 0.001731 0.003084 0.005266
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000152 0.000395 0.000892 0.001783 0.003206 0.005516